← Run 20260904-150307-2b65f658
Constraint-dense 2x2 Meta creative experiment
task factorial-ad-testSep 4, 2026

Answers & verdicts

Gemini 3.8 Flash high effort

Task passed
Task the exact prompt the model was given — assignment, source material, and skill guidance
Design a draft-only 2x2 Meta feed creative experiment for the Arc Clip Lamp. Cross exactly two audiences (Renters, Makers) with exactly two appeals (Surface-space saving, Lighting control), producing exactly four cells A-D and every audience/appeal combination once. For each cell label Audience, Appeal, Headline, Primary text, Visual direction, CTA, and Creative rationale. Use exactly the CTA 'Explore the Arc Clip Lamp'. Vary only the assigned audience language and the assigned appeal's supported message and visual; hold the product identity, offer, copy/visual format, placement, run dates, and measurement rules constant. Reserve a maximum budget of $4,800 equally as a $1,200 cap per cell over 14 days. Primary KPI: landing-page-view rate, defined as landing-page views divided by link clicks. Guardrail: cost per AddToCart. Stop any cell after $300 spend with zero AddToCart; unused budget remains unspent and is not reallocated. If any cell stops, the final result is inconclusive. Otherwise, declare a winner only when it has at least a 15% relative landing-page-view-rate lift versus the click-weighted pooled rate of the other three cells (their total landing-page views divided by their total link clicks), after every cell has at least 200 link clicks; if that full rule is not met, declare the test inconclusive. Include a labeled Execution rules section that makes the constants, budget caps, stop consequence, KPI, guardrail, win rule, and inconclusive rule explicit. Include a separate labeled Preregistered hypotheses section with exactly three directional hypotheses on landing-page-view rate: the audience main effect, the appeal main effect, and the audience-by-appeal interaction. Do not invent prior performance or product proof. --- ## Supplied source: product-marketing.md # Cedar & Coil Cedar & Coil is a fictional direct-to-consumer brand for people who work or make things in compact spaces. Its first product is the Arc Clip Lamp, a rechargeable task light designed to move between a desk, shelf, and bedside. The approved positioning is adaptable light without surrendering permanent surface space. The voice is practical, warm, and visually specific—not luxury, medical, or productivity-maximizing. All campaign work must remain draft-only. Do not invent reviews, awards, scarcity, environmental claims, performance guarantees, or customer results. --- ## Supplied source: facts.md # Authoritative synthetic facts - Product: Arc Clip Lamp. - Price: $68. - Included: lamp, padded clamp, USB-C charging cable, and storage sleeve. - Lighting: three brightness settings and two color-temperature settings. - Battery statement allowed: up to eight hours on the lowest brightness. - Clamp opening: surfaces up to 2.25 inches thick. - Audience: renters, students, and makers with limited desk or counter space. - Approved CTA: Explore the Arc Clip Lamp. - No campaign has launched and no performance data exists.
Answer the model's full response$0.027 · 43.0s · 7.1k tok
# Draft-Only 2×2 Meta Feed Creative Experiment: Arc Clip Lamp --- ## Creative Test Matrix ### Cell A * **Audience:** Renters * **Appeal:** Surface-space saving * **Headline:** Clear Your Rental Desk Space * **Primary text:** When rental desk space is limited, traditional lamps take up valuable surface area. The Arc Clip Lamp attaches to shelves, bed frames, or tabletops up to 2.25 inches thick with a padded clamp, keeping your surfaces open. Features up to eight hours of battery on the lowest brightness and includes a USB-C charging cable and storage sleeve for $68. * **Visual direction:** Static 1:1 Meta feed photograph. A natural-light view of a compact rental apartment study corner. The Arc Clip Lamp is clamped to an adjacent wall shelf upright, leaving the small writing desk surface completely clear of lamp hardware. Practical, warm styling with neutral tones. * **CTA:** Explore the Arc Clip Lamp * **Creative rationale:** Addresses renters in tight square footage who cannot sacrifice desk or bedside surface area, highlighting the 2.25-inch padded clamp to prove physical space reclamation. --- ### Cell B * **Audience:** Renters * **Appeal:** Lighting control * **Headline:** Adjust Your Rental Desk Lighting * **Primary text:** When rental apartment fixtures feel inflexible, fixed overhead bulbs cannot adapt to your routine. The Arc Clip Lamp provides three brightness settings and two color-temperature settings, giving you adaptable task light right where you sit. Features up to eight hours of battery on the lowest brightness and includes a padded clamp, USB-C charging cable, and storage sleeve for $68. * **Visual direction:** Static 1:1 Meta feed photograph. A dusk natural-light shot of a compact rental apartment living area. The Arc Clip Lamp is clamped to a desk edge, casting warm, directional light across a book while the harsh overhead rental ceiling fixture remains off. Practical, warm styling with neutral tones. * **CTA:** Explore the Arc Clip Lamp * **Creative rationale:** Addresses renters dealing with immovable, harsh overhead rental lighting by emphasizing the lamp’s adjustable brightness and dual color-temperature modes. --- ### Cell C * **Audience:** Makers * **Appeal:** Surface-space saving * **Headline:** Clear Your Maker Workspace * **Primary text:** When maker workbenches are crowded with tools, traditional lamps take up valuable surface area. The Arc Clip Lamp attaches to shelves, easels, or tabletops up to 2.25 inches thick with a padded clamp, keeping your surfaces open. Features up to eight hours of battery on the lowest brightness and includes a USB-C charging cable and storage sleeve for $68. * **Visual direction:** Static 1:1 Meta feed photograph. A natural-light view of a compact maker work table. The Arc Clip Lamp is clamped to an overhead shelving upright, leaving the cutting mat and assembly surface completely clear of lamp hardware. Practical, warm styling with neutral tones. * **CTA:** Explore the Arc Clip Lamp * **Creative rationale:** Addresses makers whose projects require every square inch of flat workspace, spotlighting the 2.25-inch padded clamp as a way to eliminate workbench clutter. --- ### Cell D * **Audience:** Makers * **Appeal:** Lighting control * **Headline:** Adjust Your Maker Work Lighting * **Primary text:** When maker projects demand precision, fixed overhead bulbs cannot adapt to your routine. The Arc Clip Lamp provides three brightness settings and two color-temperature settings, giving you adaptable task light right where you sit. Features up to eight hours of battery on the lowest brightness and includes a padded clamp, USB-C charging cable, and storage sleeve for $68. * **Visual direction:** Static 1:1 Meta feed photograph. A dusk natural-light shot of a compact maker craft area. The Arc Clip Lamp is clamped to a workbench edge, casting neutral, high-clarity task light onto hands working on an intricate craft piece while background room lighting is dimmed. Practical, warm styling with neutral tones. * **CTA:** Explore the Arc Clip Lamp * **Creative rationale:** Addresses makers needing tailored visual clarity for detailed work by focusing on the three brightness settings and two color-temperature modes. --- ## Execution rules 1. **Constants:** * **Product identity:** Cedar & Coil Arc Clip Lamp. * **Offer:** $68 retail price; package includes lamp, padded clamp, USB-C charging cable, and storage sleeve. Battery specification holds constant at "up to eight hours on the lowest brightness." * **Format and placement:** Meta Feed, single static 1:1 image, matched three-sentence primary text structure, and parallel headline syntax. * **Run dates:** 14 consecutive calendar days across all active cells simultaneously. * **Measurement rules:** Tracking configurations, attribution windows, and event definitions remain identical across all cells. 2. **Budget caps:** * **Total budget:** Maximum $4,800 reserved for the experiment. * **Cell budget cap:** Exactly $1,200 cap per cell ($300/day pacing limit over 14 days). 3. **Primary KPI:** * **Landing-page-view rate (LPVR):** Defined strictly as: $$\text{Landing-Page-View Rate} = \frac{\text{Landing-Page Views}}{\text{Link Clicks}}$$ 4. **Guardrail metric:** * **Cost per AddToCart:** Defined as: $$\text{Cost per AddToCart} = \frac{\text{Spend}}{\text{AddToCart Actions}}$$ 5. **Stop rule and stop consequence:** * Any cell that reaches **$300 in spend with zero (0) AddToCart actions** must be stopped immediately. * Any unused budget from a stopped cell remains unspent; it **cannot** be reallocated to any other cell. * **Stop consequence:** If any cell is stopped early under this rule, the entire experiment is halted and the final result is declared **inconclusive**. 6. **Win rule:** * A single cell is declared the winner if and only if **all** of the following conditions are met: 1. All four cells successfully complete the experiment without triggering the stop rule. 2. Every individual cell achieves a minimum sample size of **at least 200 link clicks**. 3. The candidate winning cell achieves at least a **15% relative lift** in landing-page-view rate over the click-weighted pooled rate of the other three cells: $$\text{Pooled LPVR}_{\text{others}} = \frac{\sum_{\text{other 3}} \text{Landing-Page Views}}{\sum_{\text{other 3}} \text{Link Clicks}}$$ $$\text{Relative Lift} = \frac{\text{LPVR}_{\text{candidate}} - \text{Pooled LPVR}_{\text{others}}}{\text{Pooled LPVR}_{\text{others}}} \ge 0.15$$ 7. **Inconclusive rule:** * The test must be declared **inconclusive** if: * Any cell stops after $300 spend with zero AddToCart actions; OR * Any cell fails to reach 200 link clicks within its $1,200 cap; OR * No cell achieves at least a 15% relative landing-page-view rate lift over the click-weighted pooled rate of the remaining three cells. --- ## Preregistered hypotheses 1. **Audience main effect:** * The **Makers** audience (Cells C and D pooled) will generate a higher landing-page-view rate than the **Renters** audience (Cells A and B pooled). Because makers operate task-oriented hobby or production spaces with specialized functional requirements, they will exhibit higher post-click follow-through to the product specifications than general rental dwellers. 2. **Appeal main effect:** * The **Surface-space saving** appeal (Cells A and C pooled) will generate a higher landing-page-view rate than the **Lighting control** appeal (Cells B and D pooled). Because physical footprint constraints are the primary shared friction point across both target segments in compact environments, messaging focused on freeing up working surfaces will drive greater landing page visit conversion from link clicks. 3. **Audience-by-appeal interaction:** * There will be a positive interaction between the **Makers** audience and the **Lighting control** appeal (Cell D). The landing-page-view rate lift of Lighting control relative to Surface-space saving will be greater among Makers than among Renters, as detailed tactile craftwork makes multi-temperature and variable-brightness illumination a direct functional necessity for makers.
Score the judge's verdict, criterion by criterion13/13 criteria passed
RequirementVerdictEvidence
full_factorial
Exactly four cells A-D are present and cover Renters x Surface-space saving, Renters x Lighting control, Makers x Surface-space saving, and Makers x Lighting control exactly once.
✓Cells A-D cover Renters/Surface, Renters/Lighting, Makers/Surface, Makers/Lighting exactly once.
cell_fields
Every cell labels Audience, Appeal, Headline, Primary text, Visual direction, CTA, and Creative rationale.
✓Each cell (A-D) lists Audience, Appeal, Headline, Primary text, Visual direction, CTA, and Creative rationale.
budget_and_duration
The plan reserves a maximum of $4,800 as a $1,200 cap per cell over 14 days; it does not promise that a stopped cell will spend its full cap.
✓Execution rules state '$4,800 reserved' and 'Exactly $1,200 cap per cell' over 14 days, with the stop rule clarifying unused budget from a stopped cell remains unspent rather than guaranteeing full spend.
execution_rules_section
A labeled Execution rules section is present.
✓A section titled '## Execution rules' is present.
hypotheses_section
A separate labeled Preregistered hypotheses section is present.
✓A separate section titled '## Preregistered hypotheses' is present.
approved_cta
All four CTA fields are exactly 'Explore the Arc Clip Lamp'.
✓All four cells list CTA as 'Explore the Arc Clip Lamp' verbatim.
grounded_copy
All copy and visuals use only supplied Arc Clip Lamp facts and avoid invented customers, results, proof, scarcity, offers, or capabilities.
✓Copy uses only supplied facts (2.25-inch clamp, eight-hour battery, $68 price, included items) with no invented reviews, results, or scarcity.
cells_isolate_factors
Product identity, offer, copy/visual format, placement, run dates, and measurement rules stay constant; cells vary only the assigned audience language and the assigned appeal's supported message and visual.
✓Execution rules explicitly hold product identity, offer, format/placement, run dates, and measurement rules constant while only audience language and appeal-specific message/visual vary across cells.
factorial_hypotheses
Exactly three directional landing-page-view-rate hypotheses are preregistered: one audience main effect, one appeal main effect, and one audience-by-appeal interaction; each names its comparison without changing an extra factor.
✓Three directional hypotheses are given: Makers vs Renters (audience main effect), Surface-space saving vs Lighting control (appeal main effect), and a Makers×Lighting-control interaction, each comparing LPVR without altering an extra factor.
kpi_and_guardrail
Landing-page-view rate is correctly defined as landing-page views / link clicks and cost per AddToCart is the guardrail.
✓LPVR is defined as Landing-Page Views / Link Clicks and Cost per AddToCart is named as the guardrail metric.
stop_rule_exact
The stop rule is exactly $300 spend with zero AddToCart for an individual cell; unused budget is not reallocated and any triggered stop makes the final result inconclusive.
✓Rule states $300 spend with zero AddToCart triggers a stop, unused budget cannot be reallocated, and any stop makes the result inconclusive.
win_rule_exact
A winner requires at least 15% relative landing-page-view-rate lift versus the click-weighted pooled rate of the other three cells (their total landing-page views / total link clicks) and at least 200 link clicks in every cell.
✓Win rule requires ≥15% relative lift vs click-weighted pooled rate of the other three cells and ≥200 link clicks in every cell.
inconclusive_rule
The plan explicitly declares the result inconclusive when the full win rule is not met and does not pick a winner from directional data alone.
✓Inconclusive rule explicitly lists stop, insufficient clicks, or failure to meet the 15% lift as conditions for declaring the test inconclusive rather than picking a winner from directional data.